Friday, April 3, 2009

Tigers hope for a strong '09

Pitching, defense are keys to recovery
Since our 2008 predictions were very (ahem) accurate, it's time for us to start looking at 2009. As of right now, there are two popular theories. One is that the Tigers are likely to play poor like they did last year. The other is that they will turn around and win the AL Central.
I would love to tell that the second scenario is going to happen, but let's examine it first.
The way things are looking, the AL Central will not be the easiest division to win in '09. The Minnesota Twins are the current favorites, which is reasonable considering that they (a) are consistent and (b) have several young players devoloping. The White Sox and Indians are not to be overlooked either.
To win a division, you need both pitching and defense. Lat year the Tigers learned that the hard way. They must use this knowledge to fill those gaps.
We'll start with defense. Here they seem to have done a fairly good job. Skilled Adam Everrett is at short, Gerald Laird and Matt Treanor are catching, and Brandon Inge has finally returned to the Hot Corner (aka Third Base).
So if defense is set, then that leaves us with pitching.
Justin Verlander's struggles were a key reason behind the disappointing 2008 season. If he turns around, it could really help the Tigers in '09.
Fans were shocked to see such a decline last year, but Verlander's struggles really came down three things: A change of strategy, bad defense, and bad luck. Well, the bad defense appears to be gone, and there's nothing one can do about luck, so that leaves the strategy.
In 2008 Verlander tried to mix things up a bit by throwing fastballs less often and trying to be more crafty. Needless to say, it didn't work. If Verlander can simply go back to doing what he does best- destroy hitters, he'll be fine.
Ok then, so what about the other four starters?
You can bet that, after an exceptionally good rookie season, Armando Galarraga will be on the roster. No need to worry about this guy, he's good.
Two down, three to go. Zach Miner and Edwin Jackson are definitely good enough to help the Tigers keep the runs against down.
The fifth spot is a bit tough, so I won't even go there, but I think four good pitchers are enough.
If all goes right, the Tigers will be better this year, but I have to admit that a divsion title is unlikely.
Especially if Ron Gardenhire gets his way.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

The Twins are always tough. They are a good organization. I agree Tigers pitching is the key[as with most teams] If the rookie Porcello pitches like they say he can I feel pretty good about their chances because I think Verlander will bounce back and Gallaraga will have even a better year than last. GO TIGERS ZOOK